President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to a historic low, according to Big Data Poll. This survey, which has previously shown strong numbers for Trump, reflects increasing voter dissatisfaction with the economy, living costs, and foreign policy. In the most recent survey conducted between May 24 and 27, among 3,121 registered voters, 39.4% approved of Trump’s performance, including 19.9% who strongly approved. This represents a new low for Trump in his second term, marking the first time his approval has dipped into the critical 30s.
In past elections, polls have underestimated Trump’s popularity, with him outperforming predictions. However, the record low approval in Big Data Poll raises concerns that dissatisfaction may be spreading beyond typical critics. Rich Baris, the firm’s director, has historically supported Trump, but he has become more critical during Trump’s second term, particularly regarding support for Israel and actions in Iran. Last June, Baris warned that involving the U.S. in conflicts with Iran could undermine Trump’s base.
The May poll report stated, “After a year of voters making themselves clear while granting an unheard-of amount of political grace, Republicans have dug themselves into a massive hole by not heeding their warnings.” It reflects a widening divide within the Make America Great Again movement, showing increased disapproval on issues like the economy, foreign policy, and the handling of files related to Jeffrey Epstein.
A White House spokesperson, Davis Ingle, told Newsweek, “The ultimate poll was November 5, 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump to deliver on his popular and commonsense agenda. No other President in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump, who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more.” Ingle also stated, “The President has already made historic progress not only in America but around the world, and this is just the beginning as his agenda continues taking effect.”
Trump’s All-Time Low Approval Rating
In Big Data Poll’s May survey, Trump recorded a 39.4% approval rating, down from 44.8% in January. He previously enjoyed a 55.5% approval rating when he returned to office. According to the poll, 57.4% of registered voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance, including 46.2% who strongly disapprove.
The Big Data Poll’s “intensity index,” which assesses the gap between strong approval and strong disapproval, registered at -26.3, the largest negative difference observed by the firm. The poll indicates a higher percentage of voters strongly disapproving than those overall approving of Trump’s performance.
Trump’s approval is negative across all issues surveyed by Big Data Poll, with a margin of error of ±1.8% for registered voters and ±1.7% for likely voters. On the economy and jobs, 38.5% approve while 56.9% disapprove, leaving him 18.4 points underwater. In January, 46.8% had approved and 49.2% had disapproved. For cost of living, 29% approve, with 66.5% disapproving, a -37.5% spread, down from 38.5% approval in January.
Regarding the situation in Iran, 58.3% disapprove of Trump’s handling, while 33.7% approve, a -24.6% spread. In January, disapproval was at 48.3%, and approval was at 38.6%. Big Data Poll notes that 36.5% support U.S. military strikes in Iran, while 53.4% oppose them.
‘Voters Have Run Out of Patience’
Baris commented in the polling report, “Voters have run out of patience with the administration and the majority party.” He also noted a rise in survey respondents trusting Democrats with important voting issues like the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy. However, voters showed more trust in Republicans over Democrats on immigration and border security, with 42% placing trust in Republicans compared to 39.1% in Democrats.
Several prominent MAGA figures have parted ways with Trump this year, including former Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene and conservative commentators Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson, and Megyn Kelly. They criticize Trump’s foreign involvements and support for Israel, viewing it as a deviation from the “America First” ideology.
Republican Representative Thomas Massie’s primary in Kentucky’s 4th District recently became a focal point in the Republican Party’s future. Massie, who disagreed with Trump on issues such as Epstein and Iran, faced criticism from Trump, while more libertarian Republicans supported him. Ultimately, Massie lost the primary to Ed Gallrein, endorsed by Trump, indicating Trump’s continued influence despite polling suggesting otherwise.

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