The Shadow Primary for the 2028 Presidential Race

While many are focused on the upcoming midterm elections, preparations for the 2028 presidential contest are already underway. Potential candidates from both the Democratic and Republican parties are making strategic moves to advance their political ambitions.

Gavin Newsom’s Southern Strategy

California Governor Gavin Newsom is leaving office soon but has been active in the political scene. He has concentrated efforts in the South, particularly in Alabama, Mississippi, North Carolina, and South Carolina. This aligns with his Campaign for Democracy PAC, established to boost Democratic prospects in conservative regions. His influence among African American voters, a crucial Democratic demographic, may benefit from these efforts. Additionally, his fundraising prowess has enhanced connections in states like Nevada and New Hampshire.

Newsom’s significant midterm contribution was supporting Proposition 50, California’s response to Texas’s gerrymandering. It introduced a congressional map potentially adding five Democratic House seats. His proactive stance on redistricting could strengthen his presidential campaign narrative, provided all five seats are secured.

JD Vance and Trump Connection

Vice President JD Vance’s future is closely linked to Donald Trump. Vance has an extensive midterm travel schedule promoting the administration’s anti-fraud initiatives. Ohio is key, with Republican Sen. Jon Husted facing a tough challenger, and the governor’s race is competitive. Erika Kirk’s endorsement from Turning Point Action adds weight to Vance’s potential presidential bid. Despite speculation, Vance insists his focus remains on aiding Republican campaigns.

Josh Shapiro’s Focus on Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro has concentrated efforts within his state. His potential presidential appeal stems from his influence in Pennsylvania, a pivotal swing state. After securing reelection, he aims to ensure a Democratic legislative majority and flip four congressional seats. Demonstrating effectiveness in swing counties could bolster his claim to reconnect with working-class voters.

Andy Beshear’s National Role

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, as Democratic Governors Association chairman, has increased his national profile significantly. His get-out-the-vote tour and national book tour expand his reach among influential Democrats. His allocation of resources in various states carries potential benefits and risks. Allocating $1 million to support Texas gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa reflects his strategic priorities.

Ted Cruz on Campaign Trail

Senator Ted Cruz maintains his status as a key Republican campaigner and fundraiser. With his Truth and Courage PAC, Cruz has significantly supported midterm candidates. As he considers another presidential run, his repeated visits to early primary states like Iowa signal serious intentions. Upcoming trips to Alaska and other pivotal states reinforce his active engagement.

JB Pritzker’s Financial Contributions

Illinois Governor JB Pritzker is heavily investing in midterms, contributing $38 million to Democratic efforts. His PAC focuses on defeating MAGA candidates in challenging districts. His substantial donations to the Texas governor’s race underline his strategic influence. Additionally, his extensive participation in political events showcases his nationwide involvement.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Progressive Agenda

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increasingly considers a presidential run, positioning within the Democratic Party’s progressive wing. She utilizes Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign as a litmus test for her political model. If successful, it may validate her broader appeal across different voter bases.

Pete Buttigieg’s Active Schedule

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has maximized his time by endorsing approximately 100 candidates and traveling across 37 states. His widespread activity highlights his cross-party appeal, as observed in deep Republican regions. His role in organizing unity events in states like Michigan demonstrates his ongoing political influence.

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