Cartel Violence Decreases in Mexico During FIFA World Cup

As Mexico co-hosts the World Cup with the United States and Canada, there are reports of reduced cartel violence. Security analyst David Saucedo shared insights with Aristegui Noticias, suggesting a possible ‘World Cup truce’ among cartels during the tournament. No public evidence supports a formal agreement.

The New York Post reported that prosecutors in cities heavily influenced by cartels have observed decreased homicides and violent acts since the beginning of the World Cup. Mexico started its hosting duties on June 11, with a 2-0 victory against South Africa at Estadio Azteca. That day, there were 30 murders recorded, marking the lowest since President Claudia Sheinbaum’s tenure began in October 2024.

Five days later, the homicide count dropped to 27, the lowest daily figure in a decade. Mexico City and Guadalajara each reported one homicide, while Monterrey noted none.

Saucedo noted the decrease in violence corresponds with a pause in major law enforcement actions against cartel leaders. There have been no major arrests or operations, as such actions could provoke retaliatory measures during the World Cup.

This contrasts with February’s situation when Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera-Cervantes of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel was killed in a military operation. That event resulted in 70 deaths, causing uncertainty about Mexico’s capability to host World Cup matches. Guadalajara enhanced security with 15,000 personnel, including National Guard troops.