In Ashton-in-Makerfield, northwest England, approximately 75,000 voters will soon make a critical decision. This special election could either select the U.K.’s next prime minister or send British politics into deeper turmoil.
Many locals, like Shirley Prior, express disillusionment with available candidates. The election on June 18 has attracted global media interest, a rarity for a by-election in one of the House of Commons’ 650 seats. The focus centers on Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK’s anti-immigration campaign. Although Labour has held this district for 120 years, the contest remains open. Reform, led by Nigel Farage, saw success in recent local elections, securing 24 out of 25 council seats.
“I always voted Labour because my dad, my grandad, everybody voted Labour then,” said Prior. “I’ve never done that for a lot, a lot of years.”
Immigration: A Central Issue
The election occurs amid heightened immigration tensions. A Belfast stabbing, where a Sudanese man is accused of attempted murder, sparked violent protests in Northern Ireland. Some voters in Ashton-in-Makerfield blame new arrivals for overburdening housing and public services.
Phil Arrowsmith, a retiree, criticizes Labour for high immigration and its strain on taxpayer-funded services. Despite annual net migration dropping from over 900,000 in 2023 to 171,000 last year, dissatisfaction with Labour’s governance persists. Labour struggles with economic issues and public service restoration, compounded by controversies like appointing Peter Mandelson as an ambassador despite his scandalous past.
Calls for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation followed poor local election results, but he has refused. Meanwhile, Wes Streeting exited the Cabinet to prepare for a potential leadership race. Burnham, current mayor of Greater Manchester, harbors leadership ambitions. He requires a parliamentary seat to challenge Starmer, a possibility opened by Josh Simons’ resignation in Makerfield.
Burnham acknowledges voter discontent and labels Reform UK’s success a demand for substantial change.
Burnham’s Appeal and Political Endeavors
The Makerfield constituency embodies British history, with roots in coal mining evolving into suburban communities. Once burdened with industrial decay, the area now features suburban homes amidst Victorian cottages and farmland. Part of Greater Manchester, Burnham receives positive responses as he meets locals. As mayor since 2017, Burnham has revitalized Manchester, advancing public transport under the Bee Network. Before this, he served in Parliament and held ministerial roles, though he emphasizes his outsider image and accomplishments in Manchester.
“What we’ve built in Greater Manchester needs to go national,” Burnham stated, reflecting on his transformative efforts.
A Close Contest Expected
The campaign intertwines local and international issues, with immigration and local concerns like retail struggles and infrastructure sharing voter focus. Burnham’s primary opponent is Rob Kenyon from Reform UK, a local councilor with controversial social media posts. The race also sees competition from the more extreme anti-immigration Restore party.
Michael Poultney, a retired teacher and Labour supporter, believes Burnham’s popularity is crucial due to government dissatisfaction.
“Without his personal vote, I think we would struggle,” he said. “Keir Starmer has done reasonably well on the international stage, but the government are yet to be in control of the economy.”
Burnham assures he prioritizes Makerfield’s residents over personal ambitions, without assuming election outcomes.
“I am making no assumptions beyond the 18th of June,” Burnham commented, emphasizing the election’s transformative potential.

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