Trump’s Approval Ratings Two Weeks Before Midterms

Two weeks before the midterm elections and 21 months into his second term, President Donald Trump faces disapproval in 41 states and every significant battleground, based on new polling data.

Polling Details

The figures come from Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters, with 137,330 responses collected from January 20, 2025, to October 19, 2026. An analysis from Newsweek compared current state ratings with those from the start of Trump’s second term. Net approval is calculated by subtracting disapproval from approval.

Nationally, 32 percent approve of Trump’s performance and 61 percent disapprove. This results in a net approval rating of minus 29.

States with Positive Net Approval

Trump retains positive net approval in nine states.

• Wyoming: +14
• North Dakota: +11
• West Virginia: +8
• Arkansas: +7
• Idaho: +4
• Alabama: +3
• South Dakota: +2
• Oklahoma: +1
• Utah: +1

These states are largely Republican. However, support has decreased since January 2025. Wyoming, for example, dropped from +47 to +14.

Demographic Insights

Demographic data highlights Trump’s approval patterns.

Among voters aged 18 to 34, only 20 percent approve, while 72 percent disapprove, showing a 52-point gap. For voters aged 35 to 49, the gap is slightly reduced with 25 percent approving and 66 percent disapproving. Older voters, while less negative, still show a disapproval trend. Voters aged 50 to 64 register a 40 percent approval versus a 54 percent disapproval. Those aged 65 and up have 42 percent approval against 53 percent disapproval.

Among independents, 66 percent disapprove and 25 percent approve. Republicans mostly support Trump with 75 percent approval compared to 13 percent disapproval. Gender differences show females disapproving by 66 percent to 28 percent, while males show a 55-to-37 disapproval split.

Education also reflects contrasts. Only 20 percent of postgraduates, 31 percent of college graduates, and 36 percent of non-college graduates approve, with disapproval higher in each group.

Battleground States

Trump faces challenges in key battleground states. His net ratings are negative across all major battlegrounds:

• Arizona: -20
• Florida: -17
• Georgia: -26
• Michigan: -28
• Nevada: -24
• North Carolina: -17
• Ohio: -21
• Pennsylvania: -23
• Wisconsin: -23

Some of these states had positive or neutral ratings when Trump began his second term.

Key Midterm States

Trump’s net approval is negative in six states with crucial Senate races:

• Maine: -33
• Michigan: -28
• Iowa: -22
• Ohio: -21
• Texas: -21
• Alaska: -12

These figures indicate a competitive landscape for the Senate, with more disapproving voters than approving in these states.

Approval Declines

Trump’s approval has fallen in every state since January 2025. The largest falls were observed in:

• Kentucky: +23 to -13, a decline of 36 points
• Wyoming: +47 to +14, a decline of 33 points
• Idaho: +34 to +4, a decline of 30 points
• Oklahoma: +31 to +1, a decline of 30 points
• Ohio: +8 to -21, a decline of 29 points
• Tennessee: +25 to -4, a decline of 29 points
• Iowa: +6 to -22, a decline of 28 points
• Texas: +6 to -21, a decline of 27 points
• West Virginia: +35 to +8, a decline of 27 points
• Florida: +9 to -17, a decline of 26 points
• Mississippi: +15 to -11, a decline of 26 points
• Montana: +25 to -1, a decline of 26 points

States initially supportive show significant drop-offs rather than Democratic strongholds.

Deep Blue States

Trump’s weakest ratings are in staunch Democratic regions. Notable states include:

• Hawaii: -61
• Maryland: -54
• Vermont: -53
• Massachusetts: -49
• California: -47
• Connecticut: -45
• Washington: -44
• New York: -42

Approval declines are less severe here since Trump started with already low ratings.

White House’s Response

The White House emphasizes Trump’s leadership within the Republican Party, highlighting his influence in motivating the party base during the midterms.

Spokesperson Davis Ingle refers to Trump as a key leader and motivator, focusing on tax cuts, energy production, and employment as achievements. The administration contrasts Trump’s policies with those they categorize as extreme Democratic proposals.