As the summer approaches and the MLB trade deadline looms, the fate of last-place teams is precarious. Here’s an overview of the likelihood of each struggling team trading away one of their top players.
Boston Red Sox: Aroldis Chapman (95%)
The Boston Red Sox have virtually no chance of trading away future stars like Garret Crotchet or Roman Anthony. However, Aroldis Chapman, who has been a standout performer this season, might be on his way out. While Chapman won’t garner the same lavish return as Mason Miller did for the Athletics last year, the Red Sox could still acquire valuable prospects in exchange for him.
Detroit Tigers: Tarik Skubal (99%)
Should the Tigers fail to improve in the early summer months, they are almost certain to trade Tarik Skubal. He has been a back-to-back Cy Young winner and is due for an expensive contract. Unlike the Los Angeles Angels, who retained Shohei Ohtani in a failed late playoff push, the Tigers appear unwilling to risk losing a star without compensation.
Los Angeles Angels: Mike Trout (40%)
The Los Angeles Angels are once again underperforming. While Mike Trout moving to a new team could help him achieve playoff success, a no-trade clause complicates any potential move. Trout seems content in Southern California, making it unlikely he will leave the Angels by this deadline.
New York Mets: Freddy Peralta (80%)
Freddy Peralta is one of the few well-performing New York Mets players likely to be traded. As he seeks a lucrative contract this offseason, the Mets may part ways with him unless there’s a change in management’s approach to pitchers.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Paul Skenes (1%)
Although the Pirates are the worst team in the AL Central, they are still in playoff contention. It’s improbable that Paul Skenes will be traded, as he remains a vital part of the team’s future.
Colorado Rockies: Hunter Goodman (20%)
Hunter Goodman stands out as a competent catcher for the Rockies. Although he may never achieve stardom, his contributions are significant given the team’s current roster. The Rockies are unlikely to receive an offer compelling enough to part with one of their promising players.

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