Forecasts predict thunderstorms and rain across several states on Tuesday, which may affect in-person voting in crucial battleground areas during the midterm elections. These conditions could influence voter turnout in key Senate races impacting control of Congress.
Republicans aim to fend off Democrats who need a net gain of four seats for the Senate and three for the House. In these tight races, voter turnout is essential, with potentially small margins deciding outcomes on November 3. Early voting has already shown high participation, with records in some states.
Texas started early voting with 19 million registered voters, and Georgia saw over 2 million voters. Other states report significant early turnout, including Alaska, which may exceed previous records.
Millions plan to vote on Election Day despite harsh weather forecasts by AccuWeather, predicting storms across the central U.S. Iowa, Texas, Michigan, and Kansas are particularly affected, with these states hosting competitive Senate races.
Election Day Forecasts
Iowa
In Iowa, Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek are contesting a Senate seat, with polls indicating a tight race. AccuWeather forecasts rain throughout the state on Election Day.
Texas
Texas sees a close Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico. Thunderstorms are predicted, especially in eastern regions like Houston and Dallas. Severe weather risks extend from the southern Plains to the middle and lower Mississippi Valley.
Michigan
Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers are in a close race for Michigan’s Senate seat, backed by strong party support. Rain is expected statewide on Tuesday.
Kansas
Republican Senator Roger Marshall faces a tight race against Democrat Adam Hamilton in Kansas, a state that hasn’t elected a Democratic Senator since 1932. Most areas expect rain or thunderstorms, particularly in the east.
Early Voting Considerations
Voters should consider early voting to avoid bad weather. Tennessee and Louisiana’s early voting has ended. Deadlines for other states are:
- October 30: Texas, Illinois
- October 31: Mississippi, Oklahoma
- November 1: Wisconsin, Michigan, New York
- November 2: Iowa, Kansas, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas
North Dakota’s early voting deadline varies by location.
Contact Newsweek editors for more information.

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