The recent Supreme Court ruling permits states to bar transgender girls and women from participating in female sports events. This decision affects 27 states that already have such bans. The ruling does not obligate the remaining 23 states to follow suit, though advocates are exerting pressure on them.
Kristen Waggoner, president of the Alliance Defending Freedom, took to social media immediately after the ruling. She stated, “Blue states with boys on girls’ podiums … you’re next.” Her organization was instrumental in defending bans in Idaho and West Virginia, and it is pressing for similar laws across the country through legislative, judicial, or voter actions.
Ballot measures addressing the participation of transgender athletes are underway in Democratic-led states like Colorado and Washington. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has launched numerous investigations into transgender sports policies. The Justice Department is pursuing lawsuits to challenge a California law, as well as similar policies in Minnesota, that protect students’ rights to participate in sports according to their gender identity.
As midterm elections approach, the issue may place additional pressure on Democratic candidates. A Gallup survey from last year revealed that about two-thirds of adults, including 40% of Democrats, think that transgender athletes should compete on teams that align with their assigned sex at birth.
Among Democrats, some are beginning to express concerns over the fairness of transgender athletes in female sports. California Governor Gavin Newsom is among the notable figures questioning the fairness. In a recent instance, a transgender high school senior in California shared two state titles in high jump and triple jump with the second-place finisher, based on a policy instituted the previous year.
All 27 states with existing bans on transgender athletes are governed by Republican legislatures. Transgender advocates emphasize the importance of solidifying policies that promote transgender athlete inclusion in states governed by Democrats, following the court’s decision.

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